Ahead of the curve : a commonsense guide to forecasting business and market cycles / Joseph H. Ellis.
Material type:
TextPublication details: Boston, Mass. : Harvard Business School Press, c2005.Description: xxiii, 276 p. : ill. ; 25 cmISBN: - 1591396913
- HB3730 .E55
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| HB30.213 .L83 Management information systems | HB34 .A48 Survey of economic theory. 3, Resource allocation/ | HB34 .A48 Survey of economic theory. vol.2 growth development/ | HB3730 .E55 Ahead of the curve : | HB3730 .M65 Management decisions and the role of forecasting | HB3730 .P54 Econometric models and economic forecasts / | HB3732 .M66 Stability an Unstable Economy |
Includes bibliographical references and index
Part 1. "Seeing" The Economy - creating order from chaos
Chapter 1. Seeing around economic corners --
Chapter 2. Making sense of the economy --
Chapter 3. Redefining economic downturns --
Chapter 4. An antidote for the recession obsession --
Chapter 5. Smart economic tracking : getting the noise out --
Chapter 6. The nature of leading indicators --
Part 2. Consumer Spending : The cornerstone of the economy and the stock market
Chapter 7. Consumer spending drives the demand chain in the economy --
Chapter 8. Consumer spending, corporate profits, and the stock market --
Part 3. Forecasting Consumer Spending : understanding the key indicator relationships
Chapter 9. Forecasting consumer spending : numbers, not psychology --
Chapter 10. Real earnings : the powerhouse of the economy --
Chapter 11. Employment and unemployment : the economy's deceptive laggard --
Chapter 12. Interest rates, inflation, and the economic cycle --
Chapter 13. Interest rates and the stock market : a concerned look forward --
Chapter 14. The link between federal deficits and interest rates -
Part IV : From Theory to Practice : applying the charting discipline to your own forecasting
Chapter 15.Forecasting for your own industry or company --
Chapter 16. Making economics happen --
Credit : consumer spending's swing factor --
Does charting economic cause and effect work outside the United States? --
Major industry data series --
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